According to Geraghty it’s looking like the Republicans will be picking up some seats, something they didn’t do in 2006:

But there is already one indicator that we are not headed to an exact re-run of the last cycle. The 2006 congressional races featured something quite odd, in that not one Republican knocked off a sitting Democrat. It marked the first time since the GOP was founded that the party won no seats previously held by Democrats in either the House or the Senate.[…]The Democrat who replaced Tom DeLay is down by 17 percent. Democratic Congressman Paul Kanjorski is considered political toast. Democratic Congressman Tim Mahoney, reeling from revelations of multiple mistresses, is trying to save his seat with attack ads, and avoiding public appearances; he trails by anywhere from 9 percent to 26 percent.

And as noted in the last post, Murtha’s mouth is digging him deeper into the hole and this ad from Vets for Freedom which will be airing in his district isn’t going to help:The Republicans may be able to pick up his seat as well.